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"Resource Investor" - Physicals
Bureau of Economic Analysis
Census Bureau Economics
31 October 2010
Emerging Market Bubble to aid US Stocks?
While emerging-markets stocks can diversify a portfolio, thus reducing the risk from a market shock in any one place, studies suggest that strong economic growth often doesn't translate into strong stock returns. The lesson for U.S. investors: It may be worthwhile keeping some money at home that you otherwise might send abroad, despite concerns about high unemployment and large government budget deficits.
"It isn't a lock that emerging-markets stocks are going to outperform going forward,'' says Joseph Davis, chief economist and principal at mutual-fund giant Vanguard Group Inc.
In a recent report, Standard & Poor's said that almost $50 billion flowed into emerging-markets equity funds this year through September, while $78 billion flowed out of developed-market funds, based on data from fund-flow tracker EPFR Global. In the week ended Oct. 6, emerging-markets equity funds attracted $6 billion, the largest weekly inflow in about three years.
If investors simply are boosting ownership of emerging-markets stocks from very low levels, that's a good thing, investment strategists say. As emerging nations become more affluent, their stocks will move more independently of markets elsewhere.
But there's a potential downside. "Our concern is that when you have this much money moving this quickly, there are growing risks of asset bubbles," says S&P international-equity strategist Alec Young.
(click headline for full story)
T. W. Merryman
Managing Director
Interconti, Limited
(Market Research Analysts)
Chicago, IL 60604
e: intercon@intercontilimited.com
w: www.intercontilimited.com
Labels:
Equities Markets,
macro-economics


