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29 November 2014
The Week in VXST – 11/24 – 11/28
The CBOE Short-Term Volatility Index finished the week with a surge on Friday’s short session. The S&P 500 was down about 5 points which one would not expect to be cause for Friday’s 16% gain in VXST. It appears that the oil and gold prices may have influenced VXST a bit as both those markets were under pressure Friday afternoon. I realize saying ‘under pressure’ for oil’s price action on Friday is a huge understatement.
Despite the move higher on Friday, VXST remained in contango going into the weekend. One would think a move like Friday’s and the highest VXST close in almost a month would result in a little backwardation. Despite a couple more new record high closes for the S&P 500 the volatility markets continue to exhibit nervousness with respect to closing out 2014 with gains.
When taking a look at VXST option trading this week something interesting caught my eye. The open interest for VXST Dec 3rd15 Puts is 1000 contracts which will benefit nicely if VXST remains a low levels into Wednesday morning’s settlement. The following week the open interest for the VXST Dec 10th 17 Calls is 1000 contracts which benefits from a spike in volatility. Between those two expiration dates we get a first look at November economic activity with Friday’s jobs report.
Labels:
bond market volatility

