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"Resource Investor" - Physicals
Bureau of Economic Analysis
Census Bureau Economics
14 June 2009
Stocks looking tired after quarter-long run...
Apparently my hopes for a thaw in Iranian tensions after Friday's elections have not only been thwarted but literally DASHED as the spectre of election nullification has since reared it's ugly head thus setting the stage for further steepening risk premium in crude as a result of continuing uncertainty which we all know markets loathe even beyond outright bad news.
Next week brings with it Tuesday's Capacity Utilization report which is expected to drop from 69+% all the way to 68.4% - bad news for economic recovery but carrying a silver lining in that the lower the cap/util number becomes, the greater wiggle-room we'll have coming out of the recession to avoid the near-certain hyper-inflationary tendencies the Fed will be forced to face down (mano y mano). A "face-down", by the way, the Fed has consistently been late to undertake during my lifetime (not to mention yours) when Greenspan, for example, kept rates too low for too long after the LTCM meltdown thus aiding & abetting the Internet bubble.
Then on Wednesday, we get CPI numbers in which a slight gain is expected of between 0.02 and 0.03% depending on whether discussing core or full rate (the logic of differentiation between which has ALWAYS escaped me in "real world" application, which our Government seems determined to ignore for the duration).
view full weekly economic data report schedule ONLINE…
http://www.intercontilimited.com/ecodata.pdf
Stocks, looking tired after 3-month run
Stocks end week little changed - worries about rates, inflation
Tim Paradis, AP Business Writer On Friday June 12, 2009, 5:26 pm EDT
NEW YORK (AP) -- The stock market's rally is on hold and it's not clear what might get it moving again. Stock indicators barely budged this week after big gains in the prior week. The Dow Jones industrial average did manage to push into the black for the year with a modest gain on Friday but many traders are still cautious. The continuing crop of better-than-expected economic news has lost its ability to incite the kinds of big gains the market was enjoying back in March, early in a three-month rally that has brought the Standard & Poor's index up 39.9 percent. Those kinds of gains might normally take years to occur, so it's understandable that traders would become tired of hitting the "buy" button. Also, the market's enthusiasm about the economy has been checked recently by unease about inflation and rising interest rates.
More…
http://finance.yahoo.com/news/Stocks-looking-tired-after-apf-15515935.html?.v=28
T. W. Merryman
Managing Director
Interconti, Limited
(Market Research Analysts)
Chicago, IL 60604
e: intercon@intercontilimited.com
w: www.intercontilimited.com
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