T. W. Merryman
Managing Director
Interconti, Limited
(Market Research Analysts)
Chicago, IL 60604
e: intercon@intercontilimited.com
w: www.intercontilimited.com
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17 September 2009
Nikkei falls 1.2 pct, Aiful news hurts financials
UPDATE!! A/O 07:30 CDT, Euro bourses slightly lower: "As we enter the last trading session of the week, we see markets taking a breather following the recent gains. Whilst it is almost inevitable that there will be a pullback on some days, it is the strength of the dips that will be in focus," said John Murphy, analyst at ODL Securities. US pre-opening screen trade showing slight upward bias but I'd expect a basically flat opening on this quadruple witching options expiry - followed by a trading session punctuated by a relatively sharp series of pops and drops....
Tokyo's Nikkei average fell 1.2 percent on Friday, hurt by financials after consumer finance firm Aiful Corp said it would ask creditors to push back repayments, while exporters such as Advantest Corp lost steam after a strong run-up.
Investors took a breather after gains that pushed the Nikkei to end above its 25-day moving average the previous day, market players said. Trade was also cautious ahead of a five-day holiday in Japan from Sept. 19-23
Hong Kong shares are set to start 0.59 percent lower on Friday, a pull back from a 13-month high in the previous session, tracking softer overseas markets on overextensionist concern but despite accelerating recoverist optimism (I just made those new words up – call it “pathetic poetic license”). Hong Kong’s Hang Seng expected to open down 127 points at around 21,640 or so… Shanghai Composite edged down 0.49 after a firmer opening
A/O 22:30 CDT US post-market screen trade shows a proximate 50-point lower Dow but this could (probably WILL) change between now and my next expected update around four hours before the NYC open.
4 common questions regarding the 2nd wave of Foreclosures
Is it true, is there actually a 2nd wave of foreclosures coming? It has been expected for months but it has yet to arrive. Well it is coming. Some banks are holding back inventory and many foreclosures have yet to go into default. Here are 4 common questions about this 2nd wave, taken from a LinkedIn group entry at Alternative Alternatives Group to which I belong... It was penned by a R/E institutional broker thus tries to apply attractive lipstick to the pig even he can’t deny occupies the same room as us all....
1. When is it coming?
Broad expectations had it coming in the spring and summer but it is mid September now and yet to arrive. Many R/E analysts believe the 2nd wave has started but will not peak until 2011.
2. What are (R/E) investors to do?
Invest, Invest, Invest some more!! Most people will run for the hills with fear. When people run that means you can get the best deals. Supply/Demand right? Warren Buffett even says the time to buy is when people are in fear. There will be an oversupply of opportunities and savvy investors will cash in. So all you investors out there, keep on investing in great deals now and position yourself to take full advantage of the 2nd wave.
3. How will this impact the real estate market?
The market has already experienced a drastic correction bringing home values back to more affordable prices. Adding more distressed properties will further reduce home prices and extend the buyer’s market for quite some time. It will be interesting to see the extent of the impact but at the end of the day it comes down to supply vs demand and there will be a large number of properties for sale.
4. How will this impact the economy?
The combined credit and housing meltdown is the epicentre of the recession we are facing. Further financial hardship by many home owners, reduction of home values and a large number of foreclosures cannot be good. The worst may be over, but this could easily keep the economy from a quick rebound and maybe cause more of a plateau (“L” shaped recovery)..
T. W. Merryman
Managing Director
Interconti, Limited
(Market Research Analysts)
Chicago, IL 60604
e: intercon@intercontilimited.com
w: www.intercontilimited.com
T. W. Merryman
Managing Director
Interconti, Limited
(Market Research Analysts)
Chicago, IL 60604
e: intercon@intercontilimited.com
w: www.intercontilimited.com
Labels:
Micro-Economics,
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