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"Resource Investor" - Physicals
Bureau of Economic Analysis
Census Bureau Economics
26 November 2010
Gold off on Greenback safe-haven trade vs. Euro
Gold fell 1 percent on Friday as the dollar pushed to fresh two-month highs against the euro on worries that Ireland's debt crisis was spreading and on growing speculation of an imminent Portuguese bailout.
However, gold was underpinned by some modest safe haven buying amid investor nervousness over the European debt crisis after a newspaper report that euro zone nations were pressuring Portugal to follow Ireland's lead and seek a bailout. Portugal and Germany's finance ministry denied the report.
Trade was fairly thin as U.S. markets were closed for a second day following the U.S. Thanksgiving holiday.
"Investors are eyeing a strengthening dollar and see no reason to hold gold in a strengthening dollar environment," said David Wilson, analyst at Societe Generale.
Gold's traditional inverse relation to the U.S. dollar broke down in May this year when the euro zone's debt problems became apparent, prompting investors to dump the single European currency, but the dynamic has since reasserted itself.
In euro terms, gold was easier at 1,023.81 euros an ounce compared with 1,028.76 euros late on Thursday, but still firmly above the 1,000 euros mark it broke through on Monday for the first time in a week.
Euro Woes
"Gold's still holding well on the crosses which is the important thing at the moment. I think it's just drifting in thin quiet Friday conditions as the currency markets move," said Simon Weeks, a trader at Scotiamocatta.
A stark warning by North Korea following its shelling of the South earlier this week added to an uncertain geopolitical picture which could lend gold some support from more risk-averse investors.
North Korea said on Friday that impending military exercises by the South and the United States were pushing the region towards war.
"Precious metals are caught between buyers who see them as a hedge against Korean tension and European sovereign debt problems, while others have been selling it on the back of the continued dollar rally," said Ole Hansen, analyst at Saxo Bank.
(click headline for full report)
T. W. Merryman
Managing Director
Interconti, Limited
(Market Research Analysts)
Chicago, IL 60604
e: intercon@intercontilimited.com
w: www.intercontilimited.com
Labels:
Commodities,
Geo-Political Analyses

