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Showing posts with label Bonds. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Bonds. Show all posts
03 June 2015
Behind the bond selloff 15 Hours Ago
12 February 2015
10-year note sale yield 2.000% 10 Hours Ago
Labels:
Bonds,
Rick Santelli
06 August 2014
19 May 2014
09 May 2014
Yield curve finally steepens...
May 9 (Bloomberg) -- The Treasury market’s yield curve steepened this week by the most in almost eight months after Federal Reserve Chair Janet Yellen eased investor concern that policy makers would accelerate interest-rate increases.
Five-year notes, more susceptible to changes in Fed rate policy expectations, outperformed 30-year bonds after Yellen told Congress yesterday rates are unlikely to rise unless the recovery is stronger. U.S. job openings fell in March, a report today showed. Demand for Treasuries at this week’s note and bond auctions fell to the weakest level in seven months on bets a rally may have gone too far, too fast.
Five-year notes, more susceptible to changes in Fed rate policy expectations, outperformed 30-year bonds after Yellen told Congress yesterday rates are unlikely to rise unless the recovery is stronger. U.S. job openings fell in March, a report today showed. Demand for Treasuries at this week’s note and bond auctions fell to the weakest level in seven months on bets a rally may have gone too far, too fast.
“It’s the front end coming down,” said Adrian Miller, director of fixed-income strategies at GMP Securities LLC in New York. Yellen “moved the needle for when rates rise to the back half of 2015. She confirmed her dovish bias. Look for a narrow trading range in the longer end of the curve.”
The yield on the five-year note was little changed at 1.63 percent at 5 p.m. in New York, according to Bloomberg Bond Trader prices. It fell three basis points, or 0.03 percentage point, on the week. The price of the 1.625 percent security due in April 2019 was 99 31/32.
The 30-year bond yield increased one basis point to 3.46 percent, rising 10 basis points on the week. It dropped to 3.35 percent on May 5, the lowest since June 19. Ten-year note yields were little changed at 2.62 percent, a four basis-point advance on the week.
The gap between yields on five- and 30-year Treasuries widened 13 basis points on the week to 1.83 percentage points. It was the first increase in four weeks and the biggest since the five days ended Sept. 20.
Treasury Gains
The Bloomberg U.S. Treasury Bond Index gained 0.6 percent in April and 2.68 percent this year, after losing 3.4 percent last year. It rose 0.3 percent this month through yesterday.
The $69 billion of three-, 10- and 30-year debt sold by the Treasury this week attracted the lowest demand for the monthly series of auctions of the maturities since October. The ratio of bids to debt sold was 2.83 times, compared with 2.99 times in April.
Hedge-fund managers and other large speculators increased their net-long position in 30-year bond futures to the most since Feb. 28 in the week ending May 6, according to U.S. Commodity Futures Trading Commission data.
Speculative long positions, or bets prices will rise, outnumbered short positions by 35,677 contracts on the Chicago Board of Trade. They rose by 3,468 contracts, or 11 percent, from a week earlier, the Washington-based commission said in its Commitments of Traders report.
Labels:
Bonds,
yield curve
13 April 2014
25 March 2014
Bond Market Action Watched Closely
05:48 am Central
Bonds held steady early on Tuesday, on what will be a heavy day of supply, with several housing market indicators.Yields on benchmark 10-year Treasury notes – used to calculate mortgage rates and other consumer loans – stood at 2.72 percent, having risen as high as 2.78 percent on Monday.
The Treasury will sell $32 billion of 2-year notes on Tuesday, while the Fed will purchase $1-$1.25 billion of 22-30-year notes.
Ahead of the auction, 2-year notes traded flat to yield 0.433 percent.
"The 2-year auction performance has continued to improve. None of the auctions since August 13 has tailed. This improvement has been driven entirely by rising domestic fund demand," said Ajay Rajadhyaksha, Dean Maki of Barclays Research in a morning research note.
14 February 2014
13 December 2013
03 December 2013
30 July 2013
02 May 2013
09 November 2012
29 October 2012
26 April 2012
23 April 2012
Rohr Int'l. Macro-Technical Analysis Methodology Intro
Rohr International general introductory video on macro-technical analysis philosophy and practice, and select Rohr products. Developed for opening segment of SlideShare presentation on Alan Rohrbach LinkedIn profile page, including an interesting 1930's vs. 2012-2013 historic comparison of equity market recovery trends after crashes that now have similar fundamental challenges....
28 February 2012
On the Move: Oil & Bonds Mon 27 Feb | 03:05 PM ET
As equities continue making gains today, oil prices were taking a slight breather, even if above $108 a barrel. All along, traded treasuries making a strong move higher today. In treasuries, what's behind the move there, rates move lower, today's closing bell exchange with Sharon Epperson at the NYMEX and Jim Lourio at CME. Jim, talk about the move in elongated treasuries and the stock market higher, do you see a relationship there? The relationship obviously is normal if bonds run, stocks are down. Today, I spent most of my day trying to figure out why the bonds are rallying in conjunction with stocks, not 100% certain on why. Every week that passes, we get new news, more liquidity being added. Right now, we probably represent the best place for that money to go and it's escaping Europe and going into bonds and stocks and that's why we are seeing a rally in both.
Labels:
Bonds,
Commodities,
Equities Markets
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